Part 5
Statistical Methods for Performance Forecasts

5.1 Introduction
5.2 Predicting the science return of a future experiment
 5.2.1 The Gaussian linear model
 5.2.2 Fisher-matrix error forecast
 5.2.3 Figure of merits
 5.2.4 The Bayesian approach
5.3 Survey design and optimization
5.4 Future activities and open challenges

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